{"id":163335,"date":"2025-12-09T16:15:35","date_gmt":"2025-12-09T16:15:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.pv-tech.org\/?p=163335"},"modified":"2025-12-09T16:15:38","modified_gmt":"2025-12-09T16:15:38","slug":"nem-data-spotlight-record-generation-meets-wild-price-swings-in-australias-nem-in-november","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.pv-tech.org\/nem-data-spotlight-record-generation-meets-wild-price-swings-in-australias-nem-in-november\/","title":{"rendered":"NEM data spotlight: Record generation meets wild price swings in Australia&#8217;s NEM in November"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/www.pv-tech.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Pacific-Energy-solar-plus-BESS-in-NSW-Australia-Image-Pacific-Energy-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-159196\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.pv-tech.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Pacific-Energy-solar-plus-BESS-in-NSW-Australia-Image-Pacific-Energy-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.pv-tech.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Pacific-Energy-solar-plus-BESS-in-NSW-Australia-Image-Pacific-Energy-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.pv-tech.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Pacific-Energy-solar-plus-BESS-in-NSW-Australia-Image-Pacific-Energy-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.pv-tech.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Pacific-Energy-solar-plus-BESS-in-NSW-Australia-Image-Pacific-Energy.jpg 1066w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">The solar-plus-storage site in NSW (pictured) features a 3MW\/6MWh BESS. Image: Pacific Energy.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Rooftop solar PV generated nearly twice the output of utility-scale solar throughout November 2025, maintaining a 1.9:1 ratio that underscores Australia&#8217;s distributed energy transformation while triggering unprecedented price volatility across the National Electricity Market (NEM).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The most striking revelation from November&#8217;s generation data is rooftop solar&#8217;s complete dominance across all 30 days of the month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Distributed solar systems generated between 73-126GWh daily, while utility-scale installations peaked at just 82GWh on 24 November. This consistent outperformance demonstrates that Australia&#8217;s rooftop solar capacity has reached a critical mass, fundamentally altering the NEM&#8217;s generation landscape.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-flourish wp-block-embed-flourish\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" title=\"Interactive or visual content\" src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/26497220\/embed#?secret=kgWN0FAhpe\" data-secret=\"kgWN0FAhpe\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" height=\"575\" width=\"700\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>As detailed in the chart above, sourced from&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/openelectricity.org.au\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Open Electricity<\/a>&nbsp;(formerly OpenNEM), 27 November marked the month&#8217;s peak rooftop performance at 126GWh, coinciding with relatively modest utility-scale output of 67GWh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This created a 1.9:1 average ratio throughout November, demonstrating how distributed generation has become the primary solar contributor to Australia&#8217;s electricity grid, generating nearly twice the output of purpose-built solar PV power plants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The generation data reveals significant daily volatility that correlates with November&#8217;s extreme pricing events. 16 November recorded the month&#8217;s lowest combined solar output at just 128GWh, with both segments performing poorly &#8211; utility-scale at 43GWh and rooftop at 85GWh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This low-generation day contrasts sharply with 27 November&#8217;s peak performance of 193GWh combined output, representing a 65GWh swing in total solar generation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>22 November showed the smallest generation gap between segments, with rooftop solar producing 73GWh against utility-scale&#8217;s 60GWh &#8211; a 1.2:1 ratio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The consistent 53GWh spread in rooftop generation (73-126GWh range) compared to utility-scale&#8217;s 39GWh spread (43-82GWh range) indicates that distributed solar exhibits greater weather sensitivity and geographic diversity effects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The mid-month surge from 10-13 November, where rooftop solar averaged 115GWh while utility-scale remained stable around 61GWh, demonstrates that rooftop installations may be better positioned to capture optimal solar conditions during favourable weather periods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-november-2025-solar-generation-marks-historic-peak-performance\"><strong>November 2025 solar generation marks historic peak performance<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Analysis of generation data from April 2024 through November 2025 reveals November 2025 as a watershed moment, with utility-scale solar achieving its highest monthly output on record while rooftop solar approached peak performance levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>November 2025 delivered exceptional performance across both solar segments, with utility-scale generation reaching 1,815GWh &#8211; a remarkable 15.8% increase from November 2024&#8217;s 1,568GWh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-flourish wp-block-embed-flourish\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" title=\"Interactive or visual content\" src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/22924505\/embed#?secret=8Yhl71SClR\" data-secret=\"8Yhl71SClR\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" height=\"575\" width=\"700\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This represents the third highest monthly utility-scale output recorded across the entire 20-month dataset. Rooftop solar generated 3,119GWh, marking an 11.6% year-over-year increase from November 2024&#8217;s 2,796GWh, though falling just short of December 2024&#8217;s record 3,347GWh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The year-over-year comparison reveals significant capacity expansion and improved performance optimisation. November 2024 to November 2025 saw combined solar generation increase from 4,364GWh to 4,934 GWh &#8211; a substantial 570GWh boost representing 13.1% growth across both segments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Seasonal analysis reveals November 2025&#8217;s positioning within typical generation cycles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The rooftop segment, although it did not reach its December 2024 peak of 3,347GWh, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pv-tech.org\/nem-data-spotlight-australias-solar-pv-sector-achieves-record-october-performance-with-4715gwh\/\">demonstrated remarkable consistency with October 2025&#8217;s performance at 3,039GWh<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The data exposes interesting divergences in growth patterns between segments. Utility-scale solar showed more dramatic seasonal variations, ranging from 887GWh in June 2024 to a record 1,815GWh in November 2025 &#8211; a 104% spread. Rooftop solar exhibited an even greater range, spanning from June 2024&#8217;s 1,248GWh to December 2024&#8217;s 3,347GWh &#8211; a 168% spread.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>November 2025&#8217;s performance becomes even more significant when viewed against the broader 2025 trajectory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Following the typical winter in June 2025 (1,028.4GWh utility-scale, 1,446GWh rooftop), both segments demonstrated strong recovery through spring. The utility-scale segment&#8217;s 76.5% increase from June to November 2025 substantially exceeded the 52.7% increase observed during the same period in 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-november-price-extremes-expose-solar-market-divergence\"><strong>November price extremes expose solar market divergence<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Solar pricing across Australia&#8217;s NEM experienced unprecedented volatility during November, with data revealing dramatic price swings and significant divergences between utility-scale and rooftop solar segments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The month&#8217;s most striking event occurred on 26 November, when both utility-scale and rooftop solar prices converged at extraordinary levels, reaching AU$328.70\/MWh and AU$329.39\/MWh respectively. This convergence represented the highest pricing recorded for both segments throughout the month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-flourish wp-block-embed-flourish\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" title=\"Interactive or visual content\" src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/26497221\/embed#?secret=DZ354GEb52\" data-secret=\"DZ354GEb52\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" height=\"575\" width=\"700\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Negative pricing events highlighted contrasting market dynamics between solar segments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rooftop solar systems experienced negative prices on 11 separate days, nearly double the frequency of utility-scale installations, which recorded negative pricing on seven occasions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The most severe negative pricing occurred on 21 November, when rooftop solar dropped to -AU$24.40\/MWh while utility-scale solar maintained positive pricing at AU$54.26\/MWh &#8211; a stark contrast demonstrating different market pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>25 November showcased the month&#8217;s largest price differential, with utility-scale solar peaking at AU$120.04\/MWh while rooftop solar fell to -AU$18.13\/MWh, creating a remarkable AU$138.17\/MWh spread between segments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The data revealed rooftop solar&#8217;s greater susceptibility to price volatility, with the segment recording both the month&#8217;s highest price at AU$329.39\/MWh on 26 November and lowest at -AU$24.40\/MWh on 21 November, representing a total range of AU$353.79\/MWh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Utility-scale solar demonstrated relatively more stable pricing patterns, ranging from AU$328.70\/MWh to its lowest recorded price, though it still experienced significant fluctuations throughout the period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>You can explore previous solar generation performance in our&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pv-tech.org\/tag\/nem-data-spotlight\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">NEM data spotlight<\/a>&nbsp;series, with all entries available to PV Tech Premium subscribers.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rooftop solar PV generated nearly twice the output of utility-scale solar throughout November 2025, maintaining a 1.9:1 ratio in Australia.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":160,"featured_media":159196,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[45,6],"tags":[185,13259,939,13288,95,186,125,55],"paywall-tags":[8671],"regions":[30,31],"industry-segments":[20,10,9],"class_list":["post-163335","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-features","category-long-reads","tag-australia","tag-data-dispatch","tag-nem","tag-nem-data-spotlight","tag-pv-power-plants","tag-rooftop-solar","tag-solar-pv","tag-utilityscale-solar","paywall-tags-premium","regions-asia-oceania","regions-southeast-asia-oceania","industry-segments-grids","industry-segments-markets-finance","industry-segments-power-plants"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.4 (Yoast SEO v26.4) - 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